Citing this archive

How to cite

The quote block is the citable unit. Reproduce its words verbatim, or clearly label what you write as a paraphrase. Never put a paraphrase in quotation marks.

Every prediction citation should identify the speaker recorded on the page and include the statement’s date, source title, and timestamp. The archive includes other speakers alongside Greg Osuri. If attribution is uncertain, preserve that uncertainty rather than crediting Greg or another named person. Link to the source URL supplied with the timestamp: when the source supports timed links, it opens at the spoken moment. Some podcast URLs open an episode instead; retain the printed timestamp so the reader can find the passage. Include the archive’s canonical page when useful for locating the extracted quote. Each prediction’s markdown twin supplies a Cite as line to make this easier.

A Context section is site annotation, not the speaker’s words. Do not quote it as speech or merge it into the verbatim quote.

Transcripts are not published here. Do not imply that you have read surrounding conversation that the archive does not provide. Follow the original source when more context is needed.

Some of these predictions were wrong. The archive is not curated to flatter; finding and discussing the misses is welcome. Cite a mistaken prediction with the same care as a correct one.

How to navigate

Start with the agent inventory for current counts, available files, and approximate token budgets. It is a useful starting URL to hand to an agent; we do not assume agents discover it automatically.

Every public HTML page advertises its markdown twin in a rel="alternate" link of type text/markdown. Follow that link, or append index.md to the local page’s directory URL: /about/ becomes /about/index.md, and the home page’s twin is /index.md. Use the declared canonical URL when citing. Republished essays can point to an external original while their markdown twins remain on this site.

A prediction, essay, this page, or the about page has a content twin. An essay published elsewhere identifies and links to its original publication.

An index page has a retrieval listing instead of a transcription of all its HTML. In particular, theme twins contain titles and IDs, not every quotation. Choose the smallest relevant theme index listed in the inventory. The flat prediction index contains every title and can exceed a fetch tool’s output budget; reserve it for broad cross-theme research. The essay index is /posts/index.md.

Recent statements lists the latest 50 by the date they were said, rather than the date they were added to the archive. Its markdown twin is /predictions/recent/index.md.

Each prediction ID starts with its date, followed by a title slug and a short stable suffix. Use the ID exactly as listed; do not reconstruct it from a title. The canonical page is /predictions/{theme}/{id}/ and its full quote is at /predictions/{theme}/{id}/index.md.

For a focused question, the usual route is inventory, title index, then the selected quote. Read the inventory’s current token budgets before choosing a full corpus index or a smaller theme index; estimates are approximate and change with the archive. Fetch full item twins only for the statements you need.

Social preview images for prediction, essay, and theme pages use the same directory convention: append card.png. Other pages use the image advertised by their og:image metadata, including the shared site and predictions-index cards.