# Other 169 predictions

URL for any entry below: https://www.gregosuri.com/predictions/{theme}/{id}/
Markdown twin: append `index.md`.
This is a title index. Full quotes and citation details are in individual twins.

## other — 169 statements, 2015–2026

Years: 2015 (1); 2018 (8); 2019 (1); 2020 (5); 2021 (28); 2022 (38); 2023 (27); 2024 (36); 2025 (19); 2026 (6)

2015-10-12-akash-debuts-as-overclock-s-internal-tool-x7p6 — "Akash" debuts as Overclock's internal tool
2018-01-04-cloud-talent-shortage-lags-enormous-market-growth-ifoz — Cloud talent shortage lags enormous market growth
2018-03-02-data-processed-doubles-every-two-years-nnfq — Data processed doubles every two years
2018-04-23-legislation-first-then-the-us-is-a-cradle-of-innov-6khn — Legislation first — then the US is a cradle of innovation
2018-06-15-bitcoin-is-the-ultimate-store-of-value-better-than-eebq — Bitcoin is the ultimate store of value — better than gold
2018-06-15-us-legislative-clarity-on-crypto-is-about-two-year-eebq — US legislative clarity on crypto is about two years away (\~2020)
2018-08-31-market-sizing-akash-s-beachhead-use-cases-xekn — Market sizing Akash's beachhead use cases
2018-10-11-ethereum-memory-costs-13-000-mb-monolithic-chains-625b — Ethereum memory costs $13,000/MB — monolithic chains can't scale
2018-11-09-serverless-adoption-will-be-like-cars-vs-trucks-qkt6 — Serverless adoption will be like cars vs. trucks
2019-08-06-the-challenge-for-distributed-systems-is-not-techn-m4no — The challenge for distributed systems is not technology, it's the experience
2020-01-12-open-source-sgx-runtimes-will-arrive-within-a-year-4ojj — Open-source SGX runtimes will arrive within a year
2020-06-22-mainnet-expected-within-a-month-to-six-weeks-e3kd — Mainnet expected within a month to six weeks
2020-07-06-china-s-machine-learning-market-as-a-target-for-ak-gevb — China's machine-learning market as a target for Akash capacity
2020-12-10-ethereum-runs-60-on-aws-we-ll-change-that-very-soo-mewk — Ethereum runs 60% on AWS — "we'll change that very soon"
2020-12-20-akash-testnet-developer-traction-exceeded-polkadot-it2r — Akash testnet developer traction exceeded Polkadot's monthly actives
2021-01-19-testnet-traction-more-active-developers-than-polka-fzve — Testnet traction: more active developers than Polkadot
2021-01-20-testnet-traction-more-active-developers-than-polka-rgmk — Testnet traction: more active developers than Polkadot
2021-01-21-censorship-resistance-and-privacy-are-foundational-y5k3 — Censorship resistance and privacy are foundational pillars of a liberal society
2021-01-21-equinix-as-akash-s-first-anchor-provider-bc6q — Equinix as Akash's first anchor provider
2021-01-21-the-cloud-is-stifling-open-source-innovation-by-st-2flu — The cloud is stifling open-source innovation by stealing its business model
2021-01-30-akash-is-primed-to-take-off-there-s-no-other-possi-ugaf — "Akash is primed to take off — there's no other possible solution"
2021-02-08-retrospective-betting-on-kubernetes-as-the-future-oqtc — Retrospective: betting on Kubernetes as the future in 2014
2021-02-19-equinix-teased-as-akash-s-first-big-enterprise-use-e2bi — Equinix teased as Akash's first big enterprise user
2021-02-19-mainnet-2-launch-targeted-for-march-8-2021-7s7q — Mainnet 2 launch targeted for March 8, 2021
2021-03-24-ethereum-is-a-proof-of-concept-not-a-scalable-arch-ujfs — Ethereum is a proof of concept, not a scalable architecture
2021-05-27-we-ll-catch-polkadot-s-developer-count-very-soon-5sjf — We'll catch Polkadot's developer count — very soon
2021-06-09-the-future-of-personal-data-is-consent-and-soverei-rdbo — The future of personal data is consent and sovereignty
2021-06-10-early-traction-deployments-doubling-monthly-17x-in-mqx7 — Early traction: deployments doubling monthly, 17x in two months
2021-06-27-people-that-don-t-move-don-t-notice-their-chains-s4qt — "People that don't move don't notice their chains"
2021-06-27-platforms-that-can-censor-a-sitting-president-prov-h4sd — Platforms that can censor a sitting president prove the danger; society must take power back
2021-07-14-the-future-will-demand-censorship-resistant-platfo-vzxv — The future will demand censorship-resistant platforms
2021-09-11-you-ll-use-akash-without-knowing-it-6ueh — You'll use Akash without knowing it
2021-10-08-bullish-on-the-metaverse-and-immersive-virtual-com-vwet — Bullish on the metaverse and immersive virtual communities
2021-10-26-de-platforming-is-a-threat-to-civil-liberties-wmyy — De-platforming is a threat to civil liberties
2021-10-27-de-platforming-is-a-threat-to-civil-liberties-gwbj — De-platforming is a threat to civil liberties
2021-11-15-contrarian-privacy-first-can-undermine-decentraliz-mii7 — Contrarian: privacy-first can undermine decentralization and innovation
2021-11-15-privacy-adoption-will-follow-the-internet-s-open-s-zcyy — Privacy adoption will follow the internet's open-system adoption curve
2021-11-15-privacy-infringement-going-mainstream-will-make-pr-p5wb — Privacy infringement going mainstream will make privacy more valuable; ship it as a core primitive
2021-11-15-surveillance-capitalism-everything-tracked-analyze-jjuy — Surveillance capitalism: everything tracked, analyzed, monetized
2021-11-19-privacy-first-is-inherently-dangerous-for-decentra-spc4 — Privacy-first is inherently dangerous for decentralization
2021-11-19-privacy-infringement-going-mainstream-will-make-pr-pdtk — Privacy infringement going mainstream will make privacy valuable
2021-11-19-surveillance-capitalism-everything-tracked-analyze-hnsy — Surveillance capitalism: everything tracked, analyzed, monetized
2021-12-22-the-largest-migration-from-web2-to-web3-2qni — The largest migration from web2 to web3
2022-01-05-cosmos-exchange-listings-will-come-as-one-slew-cmtn — Cosmos exchange listings will come as one slew
2022-02-17-decentralization-is-community-participation-and-co-vdv4 — Decentralization is community participation and continuity of operations
2022-02-17-shared-state-doesn-t-scale-sovereign-state-is-the-xwgg — Shared state doesn't scale; sovereign state is the end state
2022-04-24-talent-is-migrating-from-web2-to-web3-uj6b — Talent is migrating from web2 to web3
2022-06-16-hype-projects-will-die-this-cycle-builders-will-th-zw7u — Hype projects will die this cycle; builders will thrive
2022-06-16-preparing-for-a-two-to-three-year-bear-market-snn2 — Preparing for a two-to-three-year bear market
2022-06-16-sec-enforcement-will-hit-defi-not-akash-7gci — SEC enforcement will hit DeFi, not Akash
2022-06-22-bear-markets-make-cost-matter-the-unused-compute-m-rqd2 — Bear markets make cost matter — the unused-compute model is working
2022-06-22-flux-exposed-environment-variables-publicly-a-mass-ubgw — Flux exposed environment variables publicly — a "massive security hole"
2022-06-28-web3-goes-mainstream-in-about-two-years-aa7z — Web3 goes mainstream in about two years
2022-06-28-web3-goes-mainstream-in-about-two-years-ncwb — Web3 goes mainstream in about two years
2022-06-29-2022-23-downturn-will-end-in-a-recovery-rooted-in-yjkh — 2022-23 downturn will end in a recovery rooted in real growth, centered on Cosmos
2022-07-01-cost-is-a-hook-not-a-keeper-ux-decides-whether-dec-2f45 — Cost is a hook, not a keeper — UX decides whether decentralization wins
2022-07-21-privacy-applications-will-take-center-stage-wlso — Privacy applications will take center stage
2022-07-21-wanting-the-bear-market-to-last-as-long-as-possibl-i553 — Wanting the bear market to last as long as possible
2022-08-09-overclock-labs-has-4-years-of-runway-ms45 — Overclock Labs has \~4 years of runway
2022-08-12-open-community-curated-on-chain-ban-lists-qopl — Open, community-curated on-chain ban lists
2022-08-12-sanctioning-tornado-cash-is-like-banning-electrici-efft — Sanctioning Tornado Cash is like banning electricity because North Koreans use it
2022-08-18-edison-analogy-on-developer-arrest-w325 — Edison analogy on developer arrest
2022-08-18-github-is-dead-for-web3-decentralized-code-hosting-7eq6 — GitHub is dead for web3; decentralized code hosting is the future
2022-09-15-web3-s-edge-open-source-software-that-ships-with-i-gwdf — Web3's edge: open source software that ships with its own network
2022-09-15-web3-will-go-places-web2-can-t-even-come-close-to-nk5k — Web3 will go places web2 can't even come close to
2022-09-19-us-military-as-preferred-first-government-user-of-2s32 — US military as preferred first government user of Akash
2022-09-22-gpu-support-targeted-for-end-of-2022-fqmj — GPU support targeted for end of 2022
2022-09-29-bear-market-will-get-worse-and-be-prolonged-p44o — Bear market will get worse and be prolonged
2022-10-04-enterprise-adoption-only-works-bottom-up-through-i-lkry — Enterprise adoption only works bottom-up, through internal champions
2022-10-06-crypto-s-real-gift-is-planetary-scale-coordination-ypve — Crypto's real gift is planetary-scale coordination, not finance
2022-10-06-nfts-digitized-ownership-will-be-bigger-than-defi-44x4 — NFTs — digitized ownership — will be bigger than DeFi
2022-10-06-web3-goes-mainstream-by-2027-sxol — Web3 goes mainstream by 2027
2022-10-13-a-few-key-apps-not-thousands-will-drive-adoption-n-lgqv — A few key apps, not thousands, will drive adoption (Netflix/AWS analogy)
2022-10-13-crypto-is-easier-to-police-than-opaque-legacy-syst-hbn5 — Crypto is easier to police than opaque legacy systems
2022-10-28-bullish-on-urbit-and-owning-your-own-data-47bd — Bullish on Urbit and owning your own data
2022-10-28-candid-admission-flat-metrics-come-from-churn-user-cqty — Candid admission: flat metrics come from churn — users simply run out of escrow
2022-11-03-feature-length-ai-generated-films-are-coming-very-dixz — Feature-length AI-generated films are coming very soon
2022-11-17-crypto-vc-investment-will-dry-up-around-september-uhml — Crypto VC investment will dry up around September 2023
2022-11-18-the-bear-market-will-get-worse-and-be-prolonged-yp6w — The bear market will get worse and be prolonged
2022-12-01-us-department-of-defense-used-akash-regulators-wil-y6hv — US Department of Defense used Akash; regulators will come around
2022-12-05-november-2022-was-the-bottom-fed-pivots-and-recove-lzq4 — November 2022 was the bottom; Fed pivots and recovery by mid-2023
2023-01-13-build-in-bear-markets-sell-in-bull-markets-cycles-kmvz — Build in bear markets, sell in bull markets — cycles take two years
2023-01-13-radical-open-source-hiring-talent-by-not-hiring-lfrs — Radical open source: "hiring talent by not hiring"
2023-01-20-akash-will-borrow-bitcoin-security-for-better-pric-6lwv — Akash will borrow Bitcoin security for better price-performance
2023-01-20-composable-priced-by-value-security-is-coming-to-c-yzgo — Composable, priced-by-value security is coming to Cosmos
2023-01-20-decentralization-must-peel-down-to-code-website-an-lvaj — Decentralization must peel down to code, website, and communications control
2023-02-25-china-will-have-its-chatgpt-moment-in-the-next-thr-3zvj — China will have its ChatGPT moment in the next three months
2023-03-30-crypto-s-biggest-problem-intellectual-dishonesty-f-jnwm — Crypto's biggest problem: intellectual dishonesty from the top
2023-03-30-don-t-say-blockchain-to-ai-users-uber-doesn-t-sell-uoiu — Don't say blockchain to AI users — Uber doesn't sell the internet
2023-03-30-solve-99-problems-leave-one-for-smart-people-idus — Solve 99 problems, leave one for smart people
2023-05-09-openai-api-access-is-already-more-valuable-than-mo-zwzg — OpenAI API access is already more valuable than money; concentrated AGI is the danger
2023-06-10-10x-coding-productivity-from-generative-ai-rrri — 10x coding productivity from generative AI
2023-06-10-agi-is-closer-than-people-anticipate-qw6z — AGI is closer than people anticipate
2023-06-10-ai-will-fundamentally-change-everything-pi5d — AI will fundamentally change everything
2023-06-10-job-loss-but-not-a-doom-scenario-viwq — Job loss, but not a doom scenario
2023-06-12-ai-made-him-10x-as-an-engineer-z465 — AI made him 10x as an engineer
2023-06-12-the-department-of-defense-is-testing-akash-m7gi — The Department of Defense is testing Akash
2023-09-25-fake-video-becomes-indistinguishable-within-a-year-adn4 — Fake video becomes indistinguishable within a year
2023-09-28-llms-will-make-doctors-more-productive-not-replace-km4n — LLMs will make doctors more productive, not replace them
2023-09-29-if-akash-isn-t-successful-in-five-years-it-would-m-7e6n — If Akash isn't successful in five years, it would move to Solana
2023-09-29-the-democrats-are-unlikely-to-win-in-2024-next-adm-4hex — The Democrats are unlikely to win in 2024; next administration will be pro-crypto
2023-10-09-don-t-start-a-company-unless-you-ve-signed-up-for-focb — Don't start a company unless you've signed up for ten years
2023-10-09-solidity-is-a-poorly-designed-language-hence-the-e-nd2i — Solidity is a poorly designed language — hence the exploits
2023-10-26-post-ftx-self-regulate-and-read-out-closed-source-frnf — Post-FTX: self-regulate and read out closed-source projects
2023-12-11-ai-makes-a-10x-engineer-a-100x-engineer-t6ni — AI makes a 10x engineer a 100x engineer
2023-12-11-doctors-go-from-10-patients-a-day-to-100-with-ai-t6ni — Doctors go from 10 patients a day to 100 with AI
2023-12-11-the-state-s-crypto-overreach-is-temporary-t6ni — The state's crypto overreach is temporary
2023-12-18-bull-market-thesis-etf-trigger-cheaper-money-degen-ofjz — Bull-market thesis: ETF trigger + cheaper money + degeneracy
2024-02-14-ai-is-the-first-technology-that-passes-the-grandmo-klnh — AI is the first technology that passes "the grandmother test"
2024-02-14-ai-multiplies-service-professionals-doctors-from-1-klnh — AI multiplies service professionals: doctors from 10 to 50 patients a day
2024-03-19-the-us-department-of-defense-runs-a-fork-of-akash-jerr — The US Department of Defense runs a fork of Akash
2024-03-27-ai-is-just-a-better-paintbrush-uhu7 — AI is just a better paintbrush
2024-03-27-real-vs-synthetic-content-will-soon-be-indistingui-wweu — Real vs. synthetic content will soon be indistinguishable
2024-03-30-2024-will-be-a-deepfake-election-ccee — 2024 will be a deepfake election
2024-03-30-closed-stacks-go-fast-open-systems-go-far-g3zu — Closed stacks go fast; open systems go far
2024-05-20-distributed-systems-challenge-is-experience-not-te-65mb — Distributed systems' challenge is experience, not technology
2024-05-20-platforms-are-winner-take-all-puyd — Platforms are winner-take-all
2024-05-20-products-win-when-value-exceeds-cognitive-load-nynl — Products win when value exceeds cognitive load
2024-05-20-specialization-is-a-myth-2com — Specialization is a myth
2024-05-29-ip-addresses-scarcer-than-gold-4bkc — IP addresses scarcer than gold
2024-06-09-from-500-to-5-000-open-source-contributors-by-next-z5gm — From 500 to 5,000 open-source contributors by next Accelerate
2024-06-09-regulation-is-the-biggest-risk-otherwise-akash-is-x2zo — Regulation is the biggest risk — otherwise Akash is unstoppable
2024-06-11-ips-are-scarcer-than-gold-johb — IPs are scarcer than gold
2024-06-11-radically-open-source-500-contributors-meetings-on-2ugg — Radically open source: 500 contributors, meetings on-chain, AI training on the notes
2024-06-13-bitcoin-at-100k-by-end-of-2024-6wrq — Bitcoin at $100K by end of 2024
2024-06-13-regulation-is-the-biggest-risk-without-it-akash-is-y7tw — Regulation is the biggest risk; without it Akash is unstoppable
2024-06-13-with-closed-you-go-fast-with-open-you-go-far-b4cq — With closed you go fast, with open you go far
2024-06-19-quantum-computing-for-machine-learning-is-next-on-bv2e — Quantum computing for machine learning is next on the research horizon
2024-07-17-agi-in-eight-years-zkdi — AGI in eight years
2024-07-22-tokenized-open-source-as-the-business-model-for-op-iqf3 — Tokenized open source as the business model for open source software
2024-07-22-trial-wallets-will-be-a-bigger-unlock-than-gpus-d7oo — Trial wallets will be a bigger unlock than GPUs
2024-08-06-claude-beats-gpt-4-at-coding-chatgpt-forgot-how-to-lbcq — Claude beats GPT-4 at coding; "ChatGPT forgot how to code"
2024-09-10-ai-misuse-will-get-worse-before-it-gets-better-ctcy — AI misuse will get worse before it gets better
2024-10-02-regulation-not-competition-killed-american-railroa-tra3 — Regulation, not competition, killed American railroads — a warning for AI
2024-10-18-agi-by-2030-is-underrated-ejar — AGI by 2030 is underrated
2024-10-18-dedollarization-overrated-the-semiconductor-dollar-k5wk — Dedollarization overrated; the semiconductor dollar is next
2024-10-24-by-2030-5-of-global-gdp-will-be-spent-on-ai-gzco — By 2030, \~5% of global GDP will be spent on AI
2024-11-09-ai-classism-those-who-use-ai-will-outcompete-those-eskx — AI classism: those who use AI will outcompete those who don't
2024-11-09-east-ai-vs-west-ai-ss55 — East AI vs. West AI
2024-11-25-regulate-ai-outputs-not-ai-the-best-regulation-is-rf7k — Regulate AI outputs, not AI: "the best regulation is no regulation"
2024-11-26-ai-accelerates-everything-type-one-civilization-in-g35s — AI accelerates everything — type one civilization in 50 years
2024-11-26-llm-costs-are-limiting-adoption-new-product-cuts-t-c62c — LLM costs are limiting adoption — new product cuts time and cost
2024-11-26-quantum-computing-breaks-crypto-within-3-years-aka-kotv — Quantum computing breaks crypto within \~3 years; Akash is quantum-proofing
2024-12-18-ai-buys-you-time-it-won-t-replace-humans-yxpj — AI buys you time, it won't replace humans
2025-01-02-akash-grew-17x-year-over-year-76yh — Akash grew 17x year-over-year
2025-01-31-remove-export-controls-state-intervention-backfire-krme — Remove export controls; state intervention backfires
2025-02-26-overfunded-startups-don-t-innovate-7tbq — Overfunded startups don't innovate
2025-02-26-would-launch-akash-on-solana-today-not-a-sovereign-us3v — Would launch Akash on Solana today, not a sovereign chain
2025-03-02-china-will-have-its-chatgpt-moment-within-three-mo-wdoe — China will have its ChatGPT moment within three months
2025-04-18-anything-with-gpt-in-the-title-is-generally-a-scam-mlx7 — Anything with "GPT" in the title is generally a scam
2025-04-18-tokenized-open-source-software-is-a-superior-model-32i3 — Tokenized open-source software is a superior model
2025-05-13-within-100-years-a-new-species-merging-humans-and-j2w6 — Within 100 years, a new species merging humans and AI
2025-06-03-this-era-will-be-remembered-as-the-start-of-human-w3xo — This era will be remembered as the start of human acceleration
2025-06-24-let-s-build-a-cloud-no-one-can-shut-down-meet-at-k-ti5a — "Let's build a cloud no one can shut down" — meet at Kardashev 1
2025-06-24-states-should-own-ai-data-centers-via-municipal-bo-dhva — States should own AI data centers via municipal bonds
2025-07-16-every-major-institution-will-integrate-ai-5crn — Every major institution will integrate AI
2025-07-16-us-on-track-to-lose-the-ai-platform-war-to-china-otew — US on track to lose the AI platform war to China
2025-07-31-ai-is-a-substrate-of-civilization-p7mv — AI is a substrate of civilization
2025-08-02-ai-cannot-replace-a-human-but-ai-users-will-replac-nhtz — AI cannot replace a human — but AI users will replace non-users
2025-08-02-company-policy-adopt-ai-within-six-months-or-be-re-vxie — Company policy: adopt AI within six months or be replaced
2025-08-02-wants-humanity-to-reach-kardashev-type-one-in-his-3svw — Wants humanity to reach Kardashev Type One in his lifetime
2025-10-20-when-you-don-t-have-the-founder-mode-the-fire-usua-kzfi — "When you don't have the founder mode, the fire usually dies"
2025-12-03-akash-10x-d-revenue-in-a-year-gnzg — Akash 10x'd revenue in a year
2026-02-24-programmer-as-an-identity-is-obsolete-yvxg — "Programmer" as an identity is obsolete
2026-04-23-akashml-processes-100-billion-tokens-a-month-f6ye — AkashML processes \~100 billion tokens a month
2026-04-23-by-2030-weaker-dollar-scarcer-resources-real-displ-rzgw — By 2030: weaker dollar, scarcer resources, real displacement
2026-04-23-double-digit-gdp-growth-from-ai-within-5-years-wit-wrjn — Double-digit GDP growth from AI within \~5 years, with fewer jobs
2026-04-23-forcing-crypto-on-ai-customers-was-our-biggest-mis-upji — Forcing crypto on AI customers was our biggest mistake
2026-04-23-front-end-back-end-developers-out-of-a-job-in-2-3-trbe — Front-end/back-end developers out of a job in 2-3 years