# Other — 2024 36 predictions

URL for any entry below: https://www.gregosuri.com/predictions/{theme}/{id}/
Markdown twin: append `index.md`.
This is a title index. Full quotes and citation details are in individual twins.

## other — 36 statements, 2024–2024

Years: 2024 (36)

2024-02-14-ai-is-the-first-technology-that-passes-the-grandmo-klnh — AI is the first technology that passes "the grandmother test"
2024-02-14-ai-multiplies-service-professionals-doctors-from-1-klnh — AI multiplies service professionals: doctors from 10 to 50 patients a day
2024-03-19-the-us-department-of-defense-runs-a-fork-of-akash-jerr — The US Department of Defense runs a fork of Akash
2024-03-27-ai-is-just-a-better-paintbrush-uhu7 — AI is just a better paintbrush
2024-03-27-real-vs-synthetic-content-will-soon-be-indistingui-wweu — Real vs. synthetic content will soon be indistinguishable
2024-03-30-2024-will-be-a-deepfake-election-ccee — 2024 will be a deepfake election
2024-03-30-closed-stacks-go-fast-open-systems-go-far-g3zu — Closed stacks go fast; open systems go far
2024-05-20-distributed-systems-challenge-is-experience-not-te-65mb — Distributed systems' challenge is experience, not technology
2024-05-20-platforms-are-winner-take-all-puyd — Platforms are winner-take-all
2024-05-20-products-win-when-value-exceeds-cognitive-load-nynl — Products win when value exceeds cognitive load
2024-05-20-specialization-is-a-myth-2com — Specialization is a myth
2024-05-29-ip-addresses-scarcer-than-gold-4bkc — IP addresses scarcer than gold
2024-06-09-from-500-to-5-000-open-source-contributors-by-next-z5gm — From 500 to 5,000 open-source contributors by next Accelerate
2024-06-09-regulation-is-the-biggest-risk-otherwise-akash-is-x2zo — Regulation is the biggest risk — otherwise Akash is unstoppable
2024-06-11-ips-are-scarcer-than-gold-johb — IPs are scarcer than gold
2024-06-11-radically-open-source-500-contributors-meetings-on-2ugg — Radically open source: 500 contributors, meetings on-chain, AI training on the notes
2024-06-13-bitcoin-at-100k-by-end-of-2024-6wrq — Bitcoin at $100K by end of 2024
2024-06-13-regulation-is-the-biggest-risk-without-it-akash-is-y7tw — Regulation is the biggest risk; without it Akash is unstoppable
2024-06-13-with-closed-you-go-fast-with-open-you-go-far-b4cq — With closed you go fast, with open you go far
2024-06-19-quantum-computing-for-machine-learning-is-next-on-bv2e — Quantum computing for machine learning is next on the research horizon
2024-07-17-agi-in-eight-years-zkdi — AGI in eight years
2024-07-22-tokenized-open-source-as-the-business-model-for-op-iqf3 — Tokenized open source as the business model for open source software
2024-07-22-trial-wallets-will-be-a-bigger-unlock-than-gpus-d7oo — Trial wallets will be a bigger unlock than GPUs
2024-08-06-claude-beats-gpt-4-at-coding-chatgpt-forgot-how-to-lbcq — Claude beats GPT-4 at coding; "ChatGPT forgot how to code"
2024-09-10-ai-misuse-will-get-worse-before-it-gets-better-ctcy — AI misuse will get worse before it gets better
2024-10-02-regulation-not-competition-killed-american-railroa-tra3 — Regulation, not competition, killed American railroads — a warning for AI
2024-10-18-agi-by-2030-is-underrated-ejar — AGI by 2030 is underrated
2024-10-18-dedollarization-overrated-the-semiconductor-dollar-k5wk — Dedollarization overrated; the semiconductor dollar is next
2024-10-24-by-2030-5-of-global-gdp-will-be-spent-on-ai-gzco — By 2030, \~5% of global GDP will be spent on AI
2024-11-09-ai-classism-those-who-use-ai-will-outcompete-those-eskx — AI classism: those who use AI will outcompete those who don't
2024-11-09-east-ai-vs-west-ai-ss55 — East AI vs. West AI
2024-11-25-regulate-ai-outputs-not-ai-the-best-regulation-is-rf7k — Regulate AI outputs, not AI: "the best regulation is no regulation"
2024-11-26-ai-accelerates-everything-type-one-civilization-in-g35s — AI accelerates everything — type one civilization in 50 years
2024-11-26-llm-costs-are-limiting-adoption-new-product-cuts-t-c62c — LLM costs are limiting adoption — new product cuts time and cost
2024-11-26-quantum-computing-breaks-crypto-within-3-years-aka-kotv — Quantum computing breaks crypto within \~3 years; Akash is quantum-proofing
2024-12-18-ai-buys-you-time-it-won-t-replace-humans-yxpj — AI buys you time, it won't replace humans