# Local Compute 159 predictions

URL for any entry below: https://www.gregosuri.com/predictions/{theme}/{id}/
Markdown twin: append `index.md`.
This is a title index. Full quotes and citation details are in individual twins.

## local-compute — 159 statements, 2018–2026

Years: 2018 (1); 2019 (2); 2020 (10); 2021 (21); 2022 (19); 2023 (20); 2024 (28); 2025 (38); 2026 (20)

2018-11-10-devices-will-outnumber-humans-the-future-needs-edg-plcz — Devices will outnumber humans; the future needs edge capacity served by people, not hyperscalers
2019-08-06-dedicated-home-devices-as-the-future-of-peer-to-pe-xynw — Dedicated home devices as the future of peer-to-peer services
2019-08-06-home-hardware-made-almost-free-by-earning-akash-re-gepu — Home hardware made almost free by earning Akash rewards
2020-01-12-home-devices-helium-edge-infrastructure-that-skips-4ojj — Home devices + Helium \= edge infrastructure that skips telcos and clouds entirely
2020-01-12-home-to-home-encrypted-services-that-skip-the-clou-4ojj — Home-to-home encrypted services that skip the cloud altogether
2020-01-12-the-supermini-pays-for-itself-in-year-one-110-roi-4ojj — The Supermini pays for itself in year one — \~110% ROI
2020-06-22-home-gpu-kubernetes-clusters-as-a-milestone-of-com-2fni — Home GPU Kubernetes clusters as a milestone of computing's evolution
2020-06-22-super-mini-sold-out-300-units-in-four-weeks-djpw — Super Mini sold out — 300 units in four weeks
2020-06-22-supermini-a-home-gpu-node-that-earns-tokens-when-i-yb7q — Supermini: a home GPU node that earns tokens when idle
2020-12-10-supermini-a-home-appliance-you-plug-in-to-earn-tok-3d2m — Supermini: a home appliance you plug in to earn tokens
2020-12-16-plug-and-earn-getting-cloud-into-consumers-homes-w-eace — "Plug and earn" — getting cloud into consumers' homes with the Supermini
2020-12-16-true-decentralization-requires-a-device-in-the-hom-eace — True decentralization requires a device in the home
2020-12-20-supermini-is-a-home-provider-device-with-home-devi-mugm — Supermini is a home provider device with home-device constraints
2021-01-21-hosting-decentralized-service-nodes-locally-on-100-gri3 — Hosting decentralized service nodes locally on $100 hardware
2021-01-30-idle-office-gpu-racks-will-rent-out-capacity-peer-ii6c — Idle office GPU racks will rent out capacity peer-to-peer
2021-01-30-low-powered-home-devices-will-contribute-to-a-larg-s6xl — Low-powered home devices will contribute to a larger cloud (Supermini)
2021-03-24-supermini-a-plug-and-earn-home-data-center-device-mxfu — Supermini: a plug-and-earn home data center device
2021-04-09-every-home-device-and-tesla-should-sell-spare-comp-ezvx — Every home device and Tesla should sell spare compute to the market
2021-04-09-teslas-will-earn-income-mining-compute-maybe-enoug-fy72 — Teslas will earn income mining compute — maybe enough to pay for the car
2021-04-09-the-world-s-workloads-are-going-ml-ai-that-s-where-g7qt — The world's workloads are going ML/AI — that's where the Teslas come in
2021-05-12-the-supermini-a-home-gpu-cluster-arbitraging-home-bsm3 — The Supermini: a home GPU cluster arbitraging home power and bandwidth
2021-05-28-plug-in-a-gpu-cluster-and-earn-money-ezpt — Plug in a GPU cluster and earn money
2021-05-29-long-term-goal-devices-talk-to-the-cloud-and-earn-t3tf — Long-term goal: devices talk to the cloud and earn income
2021-05-29-tesla-cars-are-data-centers-on-wheels-that-should-325p — Tesla cars are data centers on wheels that should earn income while charging
2021-06-09-idle-office-gpus-earning-tokens-a-peer-to-peer-clo-xbrd — Idle office GPUs earning tokens — a peer-to-peer cloud for AI
2021-06-10-bring-the-cloud-to-you-the-supermini-home-supercom-zta4 — Bring the cloud to you: the Supermini home supercomputer
2021-06-10-home-cloud-with-sovereignty-keys-never-leave-your-d2da — Home cloud with sovereignty — keys never leave your home
2021-06-10-idle-home-compute-earns-tokens-on-the-marketplace-tqbs — Idle home compute earns tokens on the marketplace
2021-06-22-plug-in-a-gpu-cluster-and-earn-money-qxxb — Plug in a GPU cluster and earn money
2021-07-14-idle-gpus-everywhere-gpus-in-your-macintosh-that-a-fy6y — Idle GPUs everywhere — "GPUs in your Macintosh that are not used" and Ethereum's soon-to-be-free mining fleet
2021-07-15-supermini-bring-the-cloud-into-your-home-pc4c — Supermini: bring the cloud into your home
2021-09-11-future-demand-is-machine-learning-on-ubiquitous-co-kbxc — Future demand is machine learning on ubiquitous compute — gaming PCs to self-driving cars
2021-10-08-cars-robots-and-planes-as-edge-cloud-supply-on-aka-7pdq — Cars, robots, and planes as edge cloud supply on Akash
2021-10-12-parked-cars-selling-their-idle-gpus-at-night-dcyo — Parked cars selling their idle GPUs at night
2022-01-05-any-home-computer-with-a-powerful-gpu-can-become-a-vzh6 — Any home computer with a powerful GPU can become a provider
2022-01-10-akash-on-phones-arm-build-this-quarter-android-fir-wnkl — Akash on phones: ARM build "this quarter," Android first
2022-01-10-akash-wins-because-it-s-device-first-where-cloud-s-by5o — Akash wins because it's device-first where cloud skipped the device
2022-01-10-big-data-centers-bootstrap-supply-until-fridges-ph-jthg — Big data centers bootstrap supply until fridges, phones, and cars take over
2022-01-10-cars-are-computers-predicted-container-based-car-o-pslr — Cars are computers; predicted container-based car OS in 2015
2022-01-10-end-state-redefining-cloud-from-every-underutilize-dgpu — End state: redefining cloud from every underutilized device
2022-01-10-everyone-will-use-akash-without-knowing-it-your-te-olqu — Everyone will use Akash without knowing it; your Tesla should pay for itself
2022-04-24-home-computers-will-earn-income-once-ml-workloads-dmp7 — Home computers will earn income once ML workloads arrive
2022-04-24-own-your-own-compute-offload-excess-to-a-peer-to-p-fshl — Own your own compute; offload excess to a peer-to-peer network
2022-04-24-shrink-an-akash-provider-until-it-runs-on-an-iot-d-rck3 — Shrink an Akash provider until it runs on an IoT device
2022-04-24-supermini-is-not-dead-n4gr — Supermini is not dead
2022-06-29-phones-do-light-compute-decentralized-cloud-does-t-eycx — Phones do light compute, decentralized cloud does the heavy lifting
2022-07-07-idle-compute-becoming-passive-income-for-community-gtkz — Idle compute becoming passive income for community providers
2022-07-07-servers-must-move-to-where-the-user-is-w7yq — Servers must move to where the user is
2022-07-23-phones-do-light-compute-akash-does-the-heavy-lifti-ofz3 — Phones do light compute; Akash does the heavy lifting
2022-10-06-buy-a-gpu-host-it-at-home-lease-it-out-when-idle-epkt — Buy a GPU, host it at home, lease it out when idle
2022-10-13-tapping-idle-gpus-from-home-gaming-machines-to-min-vtlo — Tapping idle GPUs from home gaming machines to mining data centers
2022-10-28-evergreen-a-home-miner-that-runs-akash-when-you-re-zcxm — Evergreen: a home miner that runs Akash when you're not using it
2022-12-02-akash-is-a-market-including-someone-s-home-server-irza — Akash is a market — including someone's home server
2023-02-16-idle-home-gpus-playstations-xboxes-macs-are-wasted-hv5e — Idle home GPUs — PlayStations, Xboxes, Macs — are wasted compute
2023-02-18-home-miners-will-absolutely-have-a-place-on-akash-d2nu — Home miners will absolutely have a place on Akash soon
2023-02-25-idle-home-devices-consoles-and-m1-macs-are-untappe-dk6t — Idle home devices — consoles and M1 Macs — are untapped compute
2023-05-12-mobile-edge-compute-robots-self-driving-requires-m-xwle — Mobile/edge compute (robots, self-driving) requires massive compute distribution
2023-05-12-supermini-a-supercomputer-for-the-home-76ux — Supermini: a supercomputer for the home
2023-05-17-home-supercomputers-doing-local-inference-and-trai-63ul — Home supercomputers doing local inference and training
2023-05-17-neighbors-trading-gpu-time-battery-packs-for-compu-7ayq — Neighbors trading GPU time — battery packs for compute
2023-06-12-supermini-the-home-gpu-box-for-training-ai-mmrm — Supermini: the home GPU box for training AI
2023-06-12-the-2018-supercloud-thesis-ai-needs-a-decentralize-5m65 — The 2018 supercloud thesis: AI needs a decentralized supercloud
2023-06-15-anyone-s-gpu-can-join-the-marketplace-owlp — Anyone's GPU can join the marketplace
2023-06-15-models-mature-onto-consumer-gaming-gpus-hkpw — Models mature onto consumer gaming GPUs
2023-09-06-mature-models-migrate-to-distributed-gaming-gpus-y7l5 — Mature models migrate to distributed gaming GPUs
2023-09-28-every-home-will-have-a-supercomputer-zved — Every home will have a supercomputer
2023-09-28-home-compute-will-feed-a-grid-like-rooftop-solar-be3x — Home compute will feed a grid like rooftop solar
2023-09-28-sovereignty-means-having-the-chip-in-your-house-kyni — Sovereignty means having the chip in your house
2023-10-26-home-gaming-pcs-will-train-models-yes-one-day-not-hfht — Home gaming PCs will train models — "yes, one day, not yet"
2023-10-26-idle-playstations-xboxes-and-desktops-are-the-unta-5muq — Idle PlayStations, Xboxes, and desktops are the untapped compute layer
2023-10-28-akash-can-go-to-a-playstation-a-refrigerator-anywh-ofny — Akash can go to a PlayStation, a refrigerator — anywhere a GPU exists
2023-12-11-bring-the-compute-to-the-data-teslas-and-playstati-t6ni — Bring the compute to the data — Teslas and PlayStations on Akash
2023-12-18-go-into-the-home-playstations-xboxes-and-teslas-as-qri2 — Go into the home: PlayStations, Xboxes, and Teslas as providers
2024-01-16-repurposing-compute-from-homes-consoles-and-cars-bfpp — Repurposing compute from homes, consoles, and cars
2024-02-14-the-near-term-gpu-fix-repurpose-the-idle-chips-alr-klnh — The near-term GPU fix: repurpose the idle chips already in homes and data centers
2024-03-30-own-the-chips-idle-home-compute-should-join-the-gr-vwpq — Own the chips; idle home compute should join the grid
2024-05-20-home-hardware-device-paid-for-by-hosting-akash-wor-4xjo — Home hardware device paid for by hosting Akash workloads
2024-05-29-10-000-gpus-10-000-homes-dtkj — 10,000 GPUs \= 10,000 homes
2024-06-13-every-idle-device-even-self-driving-cars-joins-the-aujr — Every idle device — even self-driving cars — joins the network
2024-06-13-home-gpus-playstations-and-xboxes-on-the-market-wi-kphc — Home GPUs — PlayStations and Xboxes — on the market within two years
2024-06-13-latent-supply-lives-in-homes-but-home-compute-isn-oiu3 — Latent supply lives in homes — but home compute isn't there yet
2024-06-18-metaverse-vision-pro-rendering-will-need-low-laten-6evb — Metaverse/Vision Pro rendering will need low-latency decentralized edge compute
2024-06-19-compute-becomes-a-basic-human-necessity-akash-is-i-or3i — Compute becomes a basic human necessity; Akash is its currency
2024-06-19-home-gpus-playstations-xboxes-mac-studios-must-joi-3ctr — Home GPUs — PlayStations, Xboxes, Mac Studios — must join the network in one click
2024-06-19-universal-basic-compute-will-be-a-thing-compute-ho-5pyp — Universal basic compute will be a thing; compute-holders survive
2024-08-02-a-revolution-of-solar-powered-ultra-local-compute-uam4 — A revolution of solar-powered ultra-local compute
2024-08-02-more-compute-lives-in-user-devices-than-in-data-ce-qoxs — More compute lives in user devices than in data centers
2024-08-02-the-shift-from-h100s-to-4090s-now-we-can-incentivi-lt2a — The shift from H100s to 4090s: "now we can incentivize home computers... eventually mobile phones"
2024-08-12-4090s-will-become-the-most-important-gpus-his-are-5bb2 — 4090s will become the most important GPUs; his are earning $250 at home
2024-08-12-building-a-40kw-solar-powered-data-center-in-his-t-ht4p — Building a 40kW solar-powered data center in his Texas home that pays for the house
2024-08-12-home-machines-need-asynchronous-designs-to-serve-p-2cr5 — Home machines need asynchronous designs to serve production AI
2024-09-18-untapped-compute-in-homes-game-stations-home-appli-4dug — Untapped compute in homes, game stations, home appliances
2024-09-27-the-killer-feature-is-untapped-supply-in-homes-dev-6l3e — The killer feature is untapped supply in homes, devices, and appliances
2024-09-30-untapped-compute-in-homes-game-stations-home-appli-fhem — Untapped compute in homes, game stations, home appliances
2024-10-18-building-a-home-data-center-idle-edge-compute-tesl-nn4i — Building a home data center; idle edge compute (Teslas) will be harnessed
2024-10-18-computing-reverts-to-power-at-the-edge-dx3n — Computing reverts to power at the edge
2024-10-24-satellite-internet-phones-with-ai-streaming-on-the-knai — Satellite internet phones with AI streaming on the other side
2024-11-09-no-time-for-nuclear-connect-small-data-centers-eve-ghpf — No time for nuclear — connect small data centers everywhere instead
2024-11-14-enormous-idle-compute-sits-in-our-home-devices-it-fyay — Enormous idle compute sits in our home devices; it needs federation
2024-11-25-homes-and-garages-can-contribute-energy-and-comput-akhx — Homes and garages can contribute energy and compute to training runs
2024-11-26-ideally-supply-comes-from-homes-idle-ps5s-and-xbox-2r5a — Ideally supply comes from homes — idle PS5s and Xboxes
2025-01-02-phones-macbooks-and-ps5s-joining-training-runs-76yh — Phones, MacBooks, and PS5s joining training runs
2025-01-02-underutilized-home-computers-should-earn-revenue-76yh — Underutilized home computers should earn revenue
2025-01-31-building-a-32-h100-data-center-in-his-own-house-b6q7 — Building a 32-H100 data center in his own house
2025-03-17-ai-entering-the-home-will-cause-an-explosion-of-sm-ib5u — AI entering the home will cause an explosion of small data centers
2025-04-02-2m-home-supercluster-pays-back-in-four-years-via-a-sqg7 — $2M home supercluster pays back in four years via Akash
2025-04-02-a-4-000-sq-ft-roof-can-power-a-home-ai-data-center-37q6 — A 4,000 sq ft roof can power a home AI data center
2025-04-02-sub-50kw-home-edge-data-centers-running-frontier-m-oylv — Sub-50kW "home edge" data centers running frontier models
2025-04-02-supercluster-timeline-experimental-by-end-of-2025-4q5a — Supercluster timeline: experimental by end of 2025, scale in year three
2025-04-11-10-000-sub-50kw-residential-edge-clusters-can-trai-mgur — 10,000 sub-50kW residential edge clusters can train the best model
2025-04-11-the-future-is-edge-data-centers-not-hyperscale-6mry — The future is edge data centers, not hyperscale
2025-05-13-decentralize-the-compute-grid-for-national-securit-j2w6 — Decentralize the compute grid for national security: 1,000 small data centers, "Akash at home"
2025-06-03-anyone-with-solar-and-roof-space-becomes-a-data-ce-bx2i — Anyone with solar and roof space becomes a data center
2025-06-03-sovereign-local-ai-whose-gpus-pay-for-themselves-o-3ztl — Sovereign local AI whose GPUs pay for themselves on Akash
2025-06-03-the-akash-home-model-40-h200s-8-local-32-leased-fu-zmf2 — The "Akash home model": 40 H200s, 8 local, 32 leased, funded by DeFi
2025-06-24-star-cluster-roadmap-colos-2025-telco-edge-2026-ho-vpa4 — Star Cluster roadmap: colos 2025, telco edge 2026, homes and schools 2027
2025-06-24-tap-homes-universities-and-telco-closets-instead-o-7b74 — Tap homes, universities, and telco closets instead of new data centers
2025-06-27-star-cluster-phase-three-homes-schools-and-communi-2hqx — Star Cluster phase three: homes, schools, and communities
2025-06-27-tap-underused-servers-telco-closets-and-home-rigs-x52a — Tap underused servers, telco closets, and home rigs instead of $500M campuses
2025-07-01-10-000-small-sites-instead-of-10-mega-data-centers-nrcv — 10,000 small sites instead of 10 mega data centers — down to your basement rig
2025-07-01-phase-3-homes-schools-communities-every-gpu-earns-gxw3 — Phase 3: homes, schools, communities — every GPU earns in the new compute economy
2025-07-01-phases-2-3-telco-edge-in-2026-homes-and-schools-in-ci3a — Phases 2-3: telco edge in 2026, homes and schools in 2027
2025-07-01-star-cluster-roadmap-colos-in-2025-telco-edge-in-2-xwl2 — Star Cluster roadmap: colos in 2025, telco edge in 2026, homes and schools in 2027
2025-07-01-tap-homes-universities-and-telco-closets-instead-o-zy2l — Tap homes, universities, and telco closets instead of building new data centers
2025-07-04-homeowners-hosting-their-own-compute-and-power-cit-dxng — Homeowners hosting their own compute and power, citing Greg's "Akash at home"
2025-07-16-compute-near-local-energy-and-idle-in-homes-campus-7rl5 — Compute near local energy and idle in homes, campuses, communities
2025-07-31-a-chip-at-home-consumes-the-solar-energy-you-can-t-p7mv — A chip at home consumes the solar energy you can't store or sell
2025-07-31-a-gpu-data-center-at-home-is-not-a-far-out-reality-p7mv — A GPU data center at home is not a far-out reality; consumer box in \~6 months
2025-07-31-by-the-end-of-the-year-we-ll-have-a-very-high-qual-p7mv — "By the end of the year, we'll have a very high-quality model that competes with centralized models"
2025-07-31-cheaper-better-open-sovereignty-for-the-next-gener-p7mv — Cheaper, better, open — sovereignty for the next generation
2025-07-31-sovereign-compute-compute-is-going-to-be-like-spic-p7mv — Sovereign compute: "compute is going to be like spice"
2025-07-31-starcluster-5-000-edge-sites-first-then-22-million-p7mv — StarCluster: 5,000 edge sites first, then 22 million homes
2025-08-02-22-million-homes-the-way-we-live-may-change-hrxi — 22 million homes — "the way we live may change"
2025-08-02-idle-consumer-gpus-plus-unconcentrated-energy-are-wvco — Idle consumer GPUs plus unconcentrated energy are the untapped resource
2025-08-02-star-cluster-distributed-training-across-homes-via-yuvp — Star Cluster: distributed training across homes via telecom partners
2025-08-02-the-home-gpu-pitch-free-bandwidth-free-energy-mone-pcex — The home GPU pitch: free bandwidth, free energy, money on top
2025-10-10-inference-is-better-at-the-edge-5zr5 — Inference is better at the edge
2025-12-03-home-solar-plus-a-home-data-center-zero-marginal-e-3zcv — Home solar plus a home data center \= zero marginal energy cost
2025-12-03-rtx-5090s-not-h100s-are-the-home-compute-sweet-spo-ngk2 — RTX 5090s, not H100s, are the home-compute sweet spot
2026-02-12-from-data-centers-to-the-entire-globe-the-home-is-q67n — From data centers to the entire globe — the home is the holy grail
2026-02-12-home-nodes-solar-powered-training-from-greg-s-own-z23e — Home nodes: solar-powered training from Greg's own house
2026-02-24-12-gpus-at-home-running-local-llms-on-solar-bpyb — 12 GPUs at home running local LLMs on solar
2026-02-24-home-solar-powers-training-households-earn-a-share-s6cy — Home solar powers training; households earn a share of the model
2026-02-24-people-are-going-to-have-a-lot-of-compute-at-home-aqtz — People are going to have a lot of compute at home
2026-03-28-home-networks-not-data-centers-are-where-akash-s-f-6thu — Home networks, not data centers, are where Akash's future is
2026-03-28-robots-will-outsource-intelligence-to-low-latency-wxqs — Robots will outsource intelligence to low-latency local compute
2026-03-28-sovereign-ai-homes-share-idle-compute-a-very-diffe-wzrl — Sovereign AI homes share idle compute; a very different future in 6 months
2026-04-11-farmland-solar-a-home-node-is-the-ultimate-safety-oiq4 — Farmland + solar + a home node is the ultimate safety bet
2026-04-23-compute-shortage-means-borrowing-from-your-neighbo-cmux — Compute shortage means borrowing from your neighbors
2026-04-23-electric-vehicles-as-data-centers-on-wheels-ps23 — Electric vehicles as data centers on wheels
2026-04-23-energy-crisis-makes-home-4090s-5090s-a-real-gpu-su-e65w — Energy crisis makes home 4090s/5090s a real GPU supply source
2026-04-23-home-computers-will-beat-data-centers-as-models-op-xiby — Home computers will beat data centers as models optimize
2026-04-23-home-node-program-gaming-rigs-earning-dollars-whil-jij7 — Home node program: gaming rigs earning dollars while idle
2026-07-17-a-5090-at-home-pays-for-itself-in-8-months-7f4o — A 5090 at home pays for itself in 8 months
2026-07-17-home-solar-compute-symbiosis-deof — Home solar + compute symbiosis
2026-07-17-owning-compute-is-the-only-moat-left-yeh4 — Owning compute is the only moat left
2026-07-17-state-sponsored-loans-for-home-compute-phym — State-sponsored loans for home compute
2026-07-17-take-compute-to-where-the-power-is-gfxc — Take compute to where the power is
2026-07-29-homes-are-the-least-understood-compute-resource-la-k4hj — Homes are the least understood compute resource; latency is "a symptom, not a cause"