# DOE's 12%-by-2028 data-center forecast is conservative; reality is 30-35%

- **Speaker:** Greg Osuri
- **Attribution:** attributed
- **Said:** 2025-07-31
- **Theme:** Energy & AI — https://www.gregosuri.com/predictions/energy-ai/
- **Source:** Solving AI's Energy Crisis with Decentralized Compute, w/ Akash CEO Greg Osuri (The People's AI: The Decentralized AI Podcast)
- **Watch at:** 00:06:28 — https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/solving-ais-energy-crisis-with-decentralized-compute-w/id1792518750?i=1000720143134
- **Canonical:** https://www.gregosuri.com/predictions/energy-ai/2025-07-31-doe-s-12-by-2028-data-center-forecast-is-conservat-p7mv/
- **Cite as:** Greg Osuri, "DOE's 12%-by-2028 data-center forecast is conservative; reality is 30-35%," Solving AI's Energy Crisis with Decentralized Compute, w/ Akash CEO Greg Osuri (The People's AI: The Decentralized AI Podcast), 31 Jul 2025, 00:06:28. https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/solving-ais-energy-crisis-with-decentralized-compute-w/id1792518750?i=1000720143134

## Quote — verbatim

> They've taken a very conservative estimate and said, hey, at the minimum, I think we're going to do, like, 12%. Reality, I think people project anywhere from 30% to 35%, and it's actually resonating.

## Context — site annotation, not spoken

Refers to the DOE-commissioned Lawrence Berkeley study projecting data centers growing from 4.4% of US energy in 2023 to 12% by 2028 [00:05:47]; cites Altman's approval for 4.5 GW in Texas — "almost five nuclear reactors" — as evidence.