# Decentralized AI — 2025 56 predictions

URL for any entry below: https://www.gregosuri.com/predictions/{theme}/{id}/
Markdown twin: append `index.md`.
This is a title index. Full quotes and citation details are in individual twins.

## decentralized-ai — 56 statements, 2025–2025

Years: 2025 (56)

2025-01-02-decentralized-ai-goes-mainstream-by-mid-2025-76yh — Decentralized AI goes mainstream by mid-2025
2025-01-02-nuclear-can-t-arrive-in-time-distributed-training-76yh — Nuclear can't arrive in time — distributed training is the answer
2025-01-31-agi-is-possible-on-chain-not-in-private-labs-h3np — AGI is possible on-chain, not in private labs
2025-01-31-deepseek-accelerates-deai-summer-expect-a-uniswap-gpe3 — DeepSeek accelerates "DeAI summer" — expect a Uniswap moment
2025-01-31-five-year-window-for-decentralization-to-go-mainst-yqt2 — Five-year window for decentralization to go mainstream
2025-01-31-synthetic-data-broke-the-data-ceiling-and-accelera-4fve — Synthetic data broke the data ceiling and accelerated AGI
2025-02-04-digital-feudalism-corporations-will-dictate-who-ge-5nsr — Digital feudalism: corporations will dictate who gets to do AI
2025-02-04-nvidia-is-akash-s-biggest-user-the-only-crypto-pro-xk67 — Nvidia is Akash's biggest user — the only crypto protocol it uses
2025-02-26-crypto-is-the-only-framework-to-monetize-open-ai-6wn2 — Crypto is the only framework to monetize open AI
2025-03-02-akash-ai-in-45-days-the-best-ai-developer-product-ti43 — Akash AI in 45 days — the best AI developer product, not a crypto product
2025-03-17-decentralization-is-how-you-disrupt-openai-pnus — Decentralization is how you disrupt OpenAI
2025-04-02-distributed-training-over-the-internet-just-became-w7ms — Distributed training over the internet just became real
2025-04-11-distributed-training-got-solved-three-months-ago-o-pcq4 — Distributed training got solved three months ago — on Akash
2025-04-11-in-a-couple-of-years-it-will-be-obvious-ai-can-onl-tst3 — In a couple of years it will be obvious: AI can only scale decentralized
2025-04-18-ai-access-will-create-a-feudal-society-if-left-con-gelb — AI access will create a feudal society if left concentrated
2025-04-18-decentralized-ai-is-close-to-catching-up-with-cent-rxdl — Decentralized AI is close to catching up with centralized AI
2025-04-18-decentralized-training-of-frontier-models-is-not-p-bglh — Decentralized training of frontier models is not possible today
2025-04-18-machine-learning-must-be-decentralized-and-owned-b-4kxc — Machine learning must be decentralized and owned by the public
2025-04-18-your-data-trains-gpt-for-free-data-sovereignty-sho-nir6 — Your data trains GPT for free — data sovereignty should be a primitive
2025-05-13-decentralized-ai-takes-off-mid-2025-every-layer-of-j2w6 — Decentralized AI "takes off" mid-2025; every layer of AI will decentralize
2025-05-13-distributed-training-just-broke-the-co-location-re-j2w6 — Distributed training just broke the co-location requirement
2025-06-03-distributed-training-is-in-its-gpt-3-era-limited-o-soyr — Distributed training is in its GPT-3 era, limited only by compute
2025-06-03-hyper-bullish-on-decentralized-ai-as-the-fix-for-t-4zy2 — "Hyper bullish" on decentralized AI as the fix for the energy crisis
2025-06-03-inference-will-be-much-larger-than-training-oaee — Inference will be much larger than training
2025-06-24-decentralize-ai-s-foundation-before-it-ossifies-womh — Decentralize AI's foundation before it ossifies
2025-06-24-decentralized-training-isn-t-the-future-it-s-the-p-moyj — Decentralized training "isn't the future, it's the present"
2025-06-24-open-compute-as-national-strategy-and-line-of-defe-l3uo — Open compute as national strategy and line of defense
2025-06-27-in-six-months-decentralized-training-went-from-vis-rqld — In six months decentralized training went from vision to proven path
2025-07-01-2025-broke-the-decentralized-ai-is-impossible-assu-y6sg — 2025 broke the "decentralized AI is impossible" assumption
2025-07-01-decentralization-is-a-national-security-advantage-lpot — Decentralization is a national-security advantage
2025-07-01-decentralize-ai-s-foundation-before-it-ossifies-flcp — Decentralize AI's foundation before it ossifies
2025-07-01-decentralized-training-already-works-at-405b-scale-bubc — Decentralized training already works at 405B scale
2025-07-01-inference-today-fine-tuning-tomorrow-training-soon-hu7v — Inference today, fine-tuning tomorrow, training soon after
2025-07-01-restoring-model-control-communities-keep-models-al-vx36 — Restoring model control — communities keep models alive
2025-07-16-distributed-infrastructure-decentralizes-opportuni-ikqp — Distributed infrastructure decentralizes opportunity
2025-07-31-distributed-training-hits-gpt-3-level-by-end-of-ye-p7mv — Distributed training hits GPT-3 level by end of year
2025-07-31-the-fix-is-changing-the-math-875x-less-communicati-p7mv — The fix is changing the math: 875x less communication
2025-07-31-traditional-ai-now-accepts-decentralized-training-p7mv — Traditional AI now accepts decentralized training: five papers at ICML
2025-08-02-decentralized-ai-is-the-only-way-no-new-energy-for-mgok — Decentralized AI is the only way — no new energy for four years
2025-08-02-distributed-training-becomes-reality-this-year-sta-53mo — Distributed training becomes reality this year; state-of-the-art by \~2027
2025-08-02-high-conviction-3-5-years-for-decentralized-ai-or-6qaf — High conviction: 3-5 years for decentralized AI, or never
2025-08-02-token-incentives-could-out-compete-openai-53mo — Token incentives could out-compete OpenAI
2025-08-02-we-re-about-to-blow-up-very-soon-4li4 — "We're about to blow up very soon"
2025-10-10-a-truly-decentralized-trained-model-within-6-12-mo-hcw6 — A truly decentralized-trained model within 6-12 months
2025-10-10-continuous-gpu-verification-is-unsolved-and-akash-qhy4 — Continuous GPU verification is unsolved — and Akash is close
2025-10-20-post-upgrade-roadmap-verifiable-compute-and-vms-wi-wdcy — Post-upgrade roadmap: verifiable compute and VMs, with demand to follow
2025-10-20-we-re-not-bitcoin-we-re-ai-the-ai-market-demands-r-iwjc — "We're not Bitcoin, we're AI" — the AI market demands rapid change
2025-11-04-a-15b-parameter-llm-was-trained-over-the-public-in-5kwu — A 15B-parameter LLM was trained over the public internet, matching centralized accuracy
2025-11-04-energy-gated-compute-means-centralization-by-defau-zmo6 — Energy-gated compute means centralization by default
2025-11-04-the-internet-itself-can-be-the-training-cluster-i2uz — The internet itself can be the training cluster
2025-11-04-we-re-expanding-who-gets-to-build-turning-idleness-jh5l — We're expanding who gets to build — turning idleness into intelligence
2025-12-03-decentralized-inference-is-complete-vaporware-toda-rzac — Decentralized inference is complete vaporware (today)
2025-12-03-most-decentralized-ai-is-junk-ignore-closed-source-axah — Most decentralized AI is junk; ignore closed source and off-chain projects
2025-12-03-tees-solve-verifiability-and-confidentiality-at-20-mtg6 — TEEs solve verifiability and confidentiality at \~20% overhead
2025-12-03-the-holy-grail-contribute-your-computer-to-a-train-4336 — The holy grail: contribute your computer to a training run, get tokens back
2025-12-03-there-is-no-other-future-that-s-not-decentralized-c4fa — There is no other future that's not decentralized