# Decentralized AI — 2024 68 predictions

URL for any entry below: https://www.gregosuri.com/predictions/{theme}/{id}/
Markdown twin: append `index.md`.
This is a title index. Full quotes and citation details are in individual twins.

## decentralized-ai — 68 statements, 2024–2024

Years: 2024 (68)

2024-01-09-ai-access-is-controlled-by-a-few-players-not-a-fut-mqj2 — AI access is controlled by a few players — not a future to accept
2024-01-16-for-the-first-time-crypto-has-something-amazon-doe-bfpp — For the first time, crypto has something Amazon doesn't
2024-03-02-crypto-is-saving-ai-not-the-other-way-around-w7e3 — Crypto is saving AI, not the other way around
2024-03-19-crypto-networks-are-better-positioned-to-prevent-s-ndur — Crypto networks are better positioned to prevent Skynet than corporate boards
2024-03-19-full-stack-decentralization-not-one-layer-virq — Full-stack decentralization, not one layer
2024-03-19-general-purpose-compute-verification-is-unsolved-z-zz3h — General-purpose compute verification is unsolved; ZK is 40 minutes per image
2024-03-27-the-app-layer-captures-the-most-value-users-of-nvi-nxmt — The app layer captures the most value; users of Nvidia beat Nvidia
2024-03-30-bittensor-is-the-orchestration-layer-for-ai-xoer — Bittensor is the orchestration layer for AI
2024-05-20-an-unstoppable-machine-run-gpu-network-bcwz — An unstoppable machine-run GPU network
2024-05-20-first-foundation-model-trained-on-a-decentralized-fk56 — First foundation model trained on a decentralized network
2024-05-29-decentralized-training-is-starting-to-work-mqe7 — Decentralized training is starting to work
2024-05-29-nobody-has-solved-distributed-training-r2ih — Nobody has solved distributed training
2024-06-09-decentralized-training-research-is-promising-ltdc — Decentralized training research is promising
2024-06-09-nobody-has-solved-distributed-ml-training-ae6s — Nobody has solved distributed ML training
2024-06-13-decentralized-training-on-heterogeneous-compute-is-c3jp — Decentralized training on heterogeneous compute is promising
2024-06-14-ai-on-blockchain-is-a-reality-now-vgbt — AI on blockchain is a reality now
2024-06-18-bittensor-s-emissions-already-rival-openai-s-reven-6evb — Bittensor's emissions already rival OpenAI's revenue
2024-06-18-nobody-who-discovers-asi-will-share-it-so-asi-acce-6evb — Nobody who discovers ASI will share it — so ASI access must be a public utility
2024-06-19-ai-concentration-leads-to-a-feudalistic-society-jhzb — AI concentration leads to a feudalistic society
2024-06-19-no-one-has-solved-federated-learning-on-heterogene-mb6i — No one has solved federated learning on heterogeneous GPUs
2024-06-19-separation-of-compute-from-state-5pyp — Separation of compute from state
2024-07-17-crack-distributed-training-and-we-crack-agi-much-s-kxug — Crack distributed training and we crack AGI much sooner
2024-07-22-agi-should-be-decentralized-but-current-trajectory-4wtm — AGI should be decentralized — but current trajectory says otherwise
2024-07-22-akash-is-the-only-network-offering-on-demand-h100s-4hyy — Akash is the only network offering on-demand H100s at reasonable prices
2024-07-22-compute-should-be-a-common-good-shared-clusters-wi-34ka — Compute should be a common good; shared clusters will drive cost down
2024-07-22-federated-learning-on-distributed-clusters-is-live-wobc — Federated learning on distributed clusters is live via Prime Intellect and DiLoCo
2024-08-02-akash-is-the-de-facto-standard-for-decentralized-a-np2z — Akash is the de facto standard for decentralized AI
2024-08-02-the-notion-that-decentralized-systems-cannot-be-fa-sqao — "The notion that decentralized systems cannot be fast is just wrong" — and real products already prove it
2024-08-06-we-cannot-rely-on-centralized-ai-overlords-4j5v — We cannot rely on centralized AI overlords
2024-09-10-firmest-conviction-your-fridge-will-contribute-to-ctcy — Firmest conviction: your fridge will contribute to a global machine learning machine
2024-09-18-crypto-enables-data-sovereignty-for-ai-5a76 — Crypto enables data sovereignty for AI
2024-09-20-without-decentralization-we-become-peasants-under-uhby — Without decentralization, we become peasants under digital lords
2024-09-25-nvidia-integration-and-decentralized-training-cust-7hdz — Nvidia integration and decentralized training customers
2024-09-25-without-decentralization-we-become-peasants-under-w272 — Without decentralization, we become peasants under digital lords
2024-09-26-distributed-training-puzzle-being-solved-on-akash-mjn4 — Distributed training puzzle being solved on Akash
2024-09-26-private-ai-over-chatgpt-for-personal-data-abhi — Private AI over ChatGPT for personal data
2024-09-27-digital-feudalism-corporations-rationing-who-gets-nc77 — Digital feudalism: corporations rationing who gets to do AI
2024-09-27-nvidia-is-akash-s-biggest-user-and-its-only-crypto-ngtw — Nvidia is Akash's biggest user and its only crypto protocol
2024-09-30-crypto-enables-data-sovereignty-for-ai-gjff — Crypto enables data sovereignty for AI
2024-10-01-the-future-of-akash-verification-is-tee-a-reversal-u6xq — The future of Akash verification is TEE (a reversal he concedes)
2024-10-02-the-ai-crossroads-digital-lords-vs-the-people-tra3 — The AI crossroads: digital lords vs. the people
2024-10-15-decentralization-and-transparency-are-needed-to-un-myvv — Decentralization and transparency are needed to understand model bias
2024-10-15-most-data-lives-on-personal-devices-decentralizati-a22s — Most data lives on personal devices; decentralization unlocks it without breaking privacy
2024-10-15-permissionless-peer-to-peer-membership-removes-the-hm2n — Permissionless peer-to-peer membership removes the bound on compute scale
2024-10-16-five-unelected-people-controlled-the-world-s-most-4w5l — Five unelected people controlled the world's most powerful AI
2024-10-16-the-biggest-risk-society-faces-is-digital-feudalis-vlqa — The biggest risk society faces is digital feudalism
2024-10-16-whoever-gets-agi-first-will-keep-it-yjsw — Whoever gets AGI first will keep it
2024-10-18-agi-more-likely-from-many-small-models-than-one-bi-7cce — AGI more likely from many small models than one bigger model
2024-10-18-decentralized-networks-will-challenge-hyperscalers-ie6r — Decentralized networks will challenge hyperscalers
2024-10-24-by-cosmoverse-2025-a-100b-to-1t-parameter-decentra-clra — By Cosmoverse 2025: a 100B-to-1T parameter decentralized model, and reactors under construction
2024-10-24-concentration-of-power-plus-ai-leads-to-digital-fe-n65j — Concentration of power plus AI leads to digital feudalism
2024-10-24-data-centers-in-space-and-they-ll-be-decentralized-6tgv — Data centers in space — and they'll be decentralized
2024-10-24-decentralized-training-has-been-cracked-and-it-hap-4pkn — Decentralized training has been cracked, and it happened on Akash
2024-10-24-decentralized-training-works-and-it-s-happening-on-6lqv — Decentralized training works — and it's happening on Akash
2024-10-24-fractionalized-model-ownership-is-the-missing-ai-b-flw4 — Fractionalized model ownership is the missing AI business model
2024-11-09-agi-centralization-means-digital-feudalism-42c5 — AGI centralization means digital feudalism
2024-11-09-crypto-can-pool-capital-to-train-frontier-models-5-x6ai — Crypto can pool capital to train frontier models (\~$50M for a Llama)
2024-11-14-gpu-scarcity-even-for-the-richest-idle-gpus-are-th-jzab — GPU scarcity even for the richest; idle GPUs are the answer
2024-11-19-ai-will-be-the-most-important-layer-of-life-for-mo-j6zt — AI will be the most important layer of life for most people
2024-11-19-decouple-intelligence-from-the-state-like-bitcoin-u75w — Decouple intelligence from the state, like Bitcoin decoupled money
2024-11-19-host-a-model-pay-with-bitcoin-secure-on-bitcoin-br-arnn — Host a model, pay with Bitcoin, secure on Bitcoin — bringing intelligence to Bitcoin
2024-11-25-deai-summer-arrives-mid-2025-p6vt — "DeAI summer" arrives mid-2025
2024-11-25-distributed-training-is-a-few-generations-behind-a-qwta — Distributed training is a few generations behind and catching up fast
2024-11-26-decentralized-ai-will-shine-by-mid-2025-qukb — Decentralized AI will shine by mid-2025
2024-11-26-internet-scale-training-10b-now-then-100b-then-a-t-zqd2 — Internet-scale training: 10B now, then 100B, then a trillion parameters
2024-12-06-nous-research-s-distro-cracked-decentralized-train-2gag — Nous Research's DisTrO cracked decentralized training on Akash
2024-12-18-5-of-global-gdp-will-be-spent-on-ai-compute-by-203-j4ax — 5% of global GDP will be spent on AI compute by 2030
2024-12-18-own-ai-or-be-owned-by-it-xc4v — Own AI or be owned by it